Amazon Price History Tracker
Track Amazon product price history, identify pricing patterns, and time your pricing decisions with precision. Alternative to Keepa for sellers who want AI-assisted price analysis.
Paste product data, price snapshots, or competitor pricing. The agent builds price timelines, detects patterns, and recommends optimal pricing windows.
Commands
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What Data to Provide
- - ASIN + price data — current or historical prices with dates
- Buy Box price — the winning price you see on the listing
- Competitor prices — other sellers on the same listing
- Your cost structure — COGS, FBA fees, target margin
- Seasonal context — any known promotions or peak periods
Price Analysis Framework
Price Data Points to Track
For each ASIN, capture:
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Price Trend Classification
Uptrend (Price rising):
- - Average price this month > last month by >5%
- Signal: possible demand increase, supply constraints, or brand repositioning
- Seller action: monitor for opportunity to raise your price
Downtrend (Price falling):
- - Average price this month < last month by >5%
- Signal: increased competition, excess inventory, or market correction
- Seller action: evaluate your cost floor, avoid race-to-bottom
Stable (±5% range):
- - Price within 5% of 90-day average
- Signal: mature market equilibrium
- Seller action: compete on other factors (listing quality, reviews, ads)
Volatile (Frequent swings >10%):
- - Price swings more than 10% within 30 days
- Signal: heavy promotional activity or multiple sellers competing
- Seller action: dynamic repricing is essential
Price Volatility Score
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Seasonal Pattern Detection
Map price history against calendar events:
- - Q4 (Oct-Dec): Holiday surge — premium pricing possible
- Prime Day (July): Deep discounts expected, plan inventory
- Back to School (Aug-Sep): Category-specific peaks
- Valentine's/Mother's Day: Gift category spikes
- Post-holiday (Jan-Feb): Price depression, clear inventory
Buy Box Price Analysis
The Buy Box price matters more than list price:
- - Track who holds the Buy Box at each snapshot
- Compute your price gap vs. current Buy Box winner
- Identify patterns in Buy Box rotation (if multiple sellers)
Buy Box pricing rules:
- - New seller entering: typically prices 5-10% below current winner
- FBA advantage: can price slightly higher than FBM and still win
- Low inventory: Buy Box may shift to higher-priced seller
Price Alert Thresholds
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Optimal Repricing Windows
Based on historical patterns:
- - Best time to raise price: After a competitor goes out of stock
- Best time to lower price: 2 weeks before Prime Day to boost velocity
- Avoid repricing: During major sale events (prices stabilize after)
- Post-holiday: Expect 15-25% price compression, plan ahead
Margin Floor Calculation
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Workspace
Creates ~/price-tracker/ containing:
- -
history/ — price logs per ASIN (ASIN.md files) - INLINECODE2 — triggered price alerts
- INLINECODE3 — seasonal pattern analysis
- INLINECODE4 — full pricing reports
Output Format
Every price analysis outputs:
- 1. Price Timeline Table — chronological price history with key events marked
- Trend Direction — current trend with confidence level
- Volatility Score — 0-100 stability rating with interpretation
- Pattern Summary — detected seasonal or cyclical patterns
- Optimal Price Window — recommended price and timing
- Margin Check — current price vs. your floor, profit per unit
Amazon价格历史追踪器
追踪亚马逊产品价格历史,识别定价模式,精准把握定价决策时机。面向希望获得AI辅助价格分析的卖家,是Keepa的替代方案。
粘贴产品数据、价格快照或竞争对手定价。智能助手将构建价格时间线、检测模式并推荐最佳定价窗口。
命令
price add <价格> [日期] # 记录价格数据点
price trend # 分析价格趋势方向
price pattern # 检测季节性和周期性模式
price alert set <目标值> # 设置目标价格阈值提醒
price compare # 并排比较价格历史
price best-time # 识别提价/降价的最佳时间窗口
price volatility # 计算价格稳定度评分
price chart # 生成基于文本的价格图表
price report # 完整的价格分析报告
price save # 将所有价格历史保存到工作区
需提供的数据
- - ASIN + 价格数据 — 当前或历史价格及对应日期
- 购物车价格 — 你在Listing上看到的中标价格
- 竞争对手价格 — 同一Listing上的其他卖家价格
- 你的成本结构 — 商品成本、FBA费用、目标利润率
- 季节性背景 — 任何已知的促销活动或高峰期
价格分析框架
需追踪的价格数据点
针对每个ASIN,记录:
日期 | 价格 | 卖家 | 购物车? | 优惠券 | 促销活动 | 备注
2024-01-15 | $29.99 | 品牌方 | 是 | 9折 | 无 | 正常
2024-01-20 | $24.99 | 品牌方 | 是 | 无 | 闪购 | -17%
2024-02-01 | $32.99 | 品牌方 | 是 | 无 | 无 | 促销后
价格趋势分类
上升趋势(价格上涨):
- - 本月均价 > 上月均价超过5%
- 信号:需求可能增加、供应受限或品牌重新定位
- 卖家行动:监控提价机会
下降趋势(价格下跌):
- - 本月均价 < 上月均价超过5%
- 信号:竞争加剧、库存过剩或市场回调
- 卖家行动:评估成本底线,避免恶性竞争
稳定(±5%区间):
- - 价格在90天均价的5%范围内波动
- 信号:成熟市场均衡状态
- 卖家行动:在其他方面竞争(Listing质量、评论、广告)
波动(频繁波动超过10%):
- - 30天内价格波动超过10%
- 信号:大量促销活动或多个卖家竞争
- 卖家行动:动态定价至关重要
价格波动评分
波动率 = (最高价 - 最低价) / 均价 × 100
评分0-10: 非常稳定 — 可预测的市场
评分10-25: 中等 — 存在一定促销活动
评分25-50: 波动 — 竞争激烈或频繁促销
评分50+: 高度波动 — 使用动态定价或避免进入
季节性模式检测
将价格历史与日历事件对应:
- - 第四季度(10-12月):假日高峰 — 可实施溢价定价
- Prime会员日(7月):预计大幅折扣,规划库存
- 返校季(8-9月):品类特定高峰
- 情人节/母亲节:礼品类目激增
- 节后(1-2月):价格低迷,清理库存
购物车价格分析
购物车价格比标价更重要:
- - 追踪每个时间点谁持有购物车
- 计算你的价格与当前购物车中标者的差距
- 识别购物车轮换模式(如有多个卖家)
购物车定价规则:
- - 新卖家进入:通常比当前中标者低5-10%
- FBA优势:可比FBM略高定价仍能中标
- 低库存:购物车可能转向定价更高的卖家
价格提醒阈值
价格下跌提醒: 当前价格低于30天均价超过10%
价格飙升提醒: 当前价格高于30天均价超过20%
购物车丢失: 你的价格不再是购物车中标者
竞争对手进入: 新卖家以显著低价出现
底线提醒: 价格跌破你计算的利润底线
最佳重新定价窗口
基于历史模式:
- - 最佳提价时机:竞争对手缺货后
- 最佳降价时机:Prime会员日前2周以提升销量
- 避免重新定价:大型促销活动期间(之后价格会稳定)
- 节后:预计价格压缩15-25%,提前规划
利润底线计算
利润底线 = 商品成本 + FBA费用 + 推荐费 + PPC成本 + 最低利润
示例:
商品成本: $8.00
FBA费用: $4.50
推荐费(15%): 价格 × 0.15
PPC成本: $2.00
最低利润: $2.00
底线 = $8 + $4.50 + (价格 × 0.15) + $2 + $2 = 求解价格
最低价格 = ($16.50) / (1 - 0.15) = $19.41
工作区
创建 ~/price-tracker/ 目录,包含:
- - history/ — 每个ASIN的价格日志(ASIN.md文件)
- alerts/ — 触发的价格提醒
- patterns/ — 季节性模式分析
- reports/ — 完整的价格报告
输出格式
每次价格分析输出:
- 1. 价格时间线表格 — 按时间顺序的价格历史,标注关键事件
- 趋势方向 — 当前趋势及置信度水平
- 波动评分 — 0-100的稳定性评级及解读
- 模式总结 — 检测到的季节性或周期性模式
- 最优价格窗口 — 推荐的价格和时机
- 利润检查 — 当前价格与你的底线对比,每单位利润