hk-stock-to-gougoubi-prediction

# HK Stock To Gougoubi Prediction Use `hk-stock-predictor` to generate prediction candidates, then convert the best candidate into a Gougoubi-ready proposal and pass it to `gougoubi-create-prediction`. ## Minimal Input ```json { "symbol": "00700", "horizon": "30d" } ``` Theme-first input is also valid: ```json { "theme": "南向资金持续流入的港股通互联网龙头", "horizon": "14d" } ``` ## Required Subskills Use these skills in order: 1. `hk-stock-predictor` 2. `gougoubi-create-prediction` If `hk-stock-predictor` is missing, do not continue to market creation. Ask the agent to perform the HK stock analysis workflow first. ## Deterministic Workflow 1. Analyze the HK stock or theme. - Run the `hk-stock-predictor` workflow. - Collect `predictionCandidates` and `recommendedPrediction`. 2. Pick one prediction candidate. - Prefer the recommended candidate unless it violates the filters below. 3. Validate prediction quality. - Must be binary, range, event, or relative-performance. - Must have a concrete deadline. - Must have a public resolution source. - Must not rely on subjective judgment. 4. Convert to Gougoubi proposal fields. - `marketName` - `deadlineIsoUtc` - `rules` - `tags` 5. Pass the resulting market to `gougoubi-create-prediction`. - Minimal required user-facing fields remain `marketName` and `deadlineIsoUtc`. - The rest of the content should be generated deterministically from the chosen prediction. 6. Return both layers of output. - analysis summary - chosen prediction - Gougoubi payload - create transaction result if submission is requested ## Market Filters Only create markets that satisfy all of these: - time-bounded - externally resolvable - single thesis, not multiple stacked conditions - sufficiently liquid underlying or high-quality event source - wording is concise and non-ambiguous Do not create markets for: - micro-cap or illiquid names likely to be manipulated - vague sentiment questions - open-ended macro narratives without a measurable threshold - markets that cannot be resolved from a public page or published report ## Gougoubi Conversion Rules ### 1. `marketName` Use a short title with one measurable claim. Good: - `Will 00700 close above HK$520 on 2026-04-30?` - `Will 09988 outperform HSTECH between now and 2026-05-15?` - `Will 02318 report YoY net profit growth above 10% in its next earnings release?` ### 2. `deadlineIsoUtc` Choose the earliest deadline that still allows clean resolution: - close-price market: use market close date plus a short safety buffer - earnings market: use expected report date plus a safety buffer - relative-performance market: end date at the comparison window close Default timezone for rules: `Asia/Hong_Kong`, unless the data source clearly reports in another timezone. ### 3. `rules` Rules must explicitly define: - resolution source - metric field - comparison operator - timezone - tie handling - fallback source if primary source is temporarily unavailable Use this template: ```markdown Resolution source: - Primary: [source] - Fallback: [fallback source] Resolution rule: - This market resolves YES if [exact measurable condition]. - This market resolves NO otherwise. Measurement details: - Timezone: Asia/Hong_Kong - Observation time: [exact time or reporting event] - Metric: [close price / YoY growth / index-relative return / etc.] - Tie handling: equality resolves [YES or NO], as stated in market title interpretation. ``` ### 4. `tags` Always include: - `hong-kong-stocks` - one sector tag - one catalyst tag - one horizon tag - when possible, align with project-known category ids such as `finance`, `earnings`, and `tech` Examples: - `hong-kong-stocks` - `finance` - `internet` - `earnings` - `30d` ## Output Schema ```json { "ok": true, "analysis": { "symbol": "00700", "companyName": "Tencent Holdings", "recommendedPrediction": { "title": "", "deadlineIsoUtc": "", "confidence": 0 } }, "gougoubiPayload": { "marketName": "", "deadlineIsoUtc": "", "rules": "", "tags": [] }, "createInput": { "marketName": "", "deadlineIsoUtc": "" }, "createResult": null, "warnings": [] } ``` ## Response Format ```markdown # 港股到 Gougoubi 预测题 ## 标的结论 - 标的: - 核心判断: - 时间窗口: ## 选中的预测题 - 题目: - 截止时间: - 置信度: - 公开裁决来源: ## Gougoubi 参数 - marketName: - deadlineIsoUtc: - tags: ## 规则草案 [rules text] ## 提交结果 - status: - txHash: - proposalAddress: ``` ## Boundaries - Do not submit on-chain or through the UI unless the user clearly wants actual creation. - If only asked for preparation, stop after generating the Gougoubi-ready payload. - Surface uncertainty if earnings date or source availability is unclear. - Prefer event-driven or close-price markets over loose valuation narratives. ## Additional Resource - For a concrete Tencent example, see [examples.md](examples.md).