lpxpoly

# LPXPoly — AI-Powered Polymarket Analysis Find edge in prediction markets using AI probability estimation vs current market prices. Pay ~50 sats per analysis via Bitcoin Lightning. No subscription, no account. ## When to Use - Finding mispriced markets on Polymarket - Getting AI probability assessment on specific events - Scanning for arbitrage opportunities in prediction markets - Comparing AI model probability vs crowd wisdom - Browsing top markets by volume or category ## Tools ### `get_edge_opportunities` Scans Polymarket for markets where AI probability significantly diverges from market price. ``` "Find edge opportunities on Polymarket" → Returns top mispriced markets with AI vs market probability delta → Sorted by edge magnitude → Includes recommended position (YES/NO) and confidence ``` ### `analyze_market` Deep AI analysis of a specific Polymarket market. ``` "Analyze the Fed rate cut market" → Returns AI probability estimate with reasoning → Includes key factors, risks, and recommended position size → Compares to current market price ``` ### `get_top_markets` Browse top Polymarket markets by volume, filtered by category. ``` "What are the top crypto markets on Polymarket?" → Returns markets sorted by volume → Filter by: crypto, politics, sports, science, tech, world ``` ### `check_balance` Check your Lightning balance before running expensive scans. ``` "How much Lightning balance do I have?" → Returns current sats balance → Includes link to top up if low ``` ## Behavior Guidelines **Before a full market scan:** 1. `check_balance` — confirm enough sats for the scan 2. `get_edge_opportunities` — retrieve top mispriced markets 3. Present findings with edge delta and confidence **For a specific market:** 1. `analyze_market` with market name or URL 2. Return AI probability, reasoning, and position recommendation **Cost awareness:** - Each `get_edge_opportunities` call: ~50 sats - Each `analyze_market` call: ~50 sats - Warn if balance < 200 sats before a multi-analysis session ## Example Interactions **User:** "Find edge opportunities on Polymarket" **You:** check_balance → get_edge_opportunities → present top 5 markets with edge delta, AI probability vs market price, and recommended positions --- **User:** "What does AI think about the Bitcoin ETF approval market?" **You:** analyze_market("Bitcoin ETF approval") → return AI probability estimate, key factors, comparison to market price, recommended position --- **User:** "What are the biggest crypto prediction markets right now?" **You:** get_top_markets(category="crypto") → return top markets by volume with current prices ## Payment ~50 sats per analysis. Pay with Bitcoin Lightning. Get a spend token at [lightningprox.com](https://lightningprox.com). ```json { "mcpServers": { "lpxpoly": { "command": "npx", "args": ["lpxpoly-mcp"], "env": { "LIGHTNINGPROX_SPEND_TOKEN": "lnpx_your_token_here" } } } } ``` ## Security Manifest | Permission | Scope | Reason | |------------|-------|--------| | Network | lpxpoly.com, lightningprox.com | Market data and Lightning payment | | Env Read | LIGHTNINGPROX_SPEND_TOKEN | Authentication for paid analysis calls | ## Trust Statement LPXPoly is part of the AIProx ecosystem, operated by LPX Digital Group LLC. Market analysis is AI-generated probability estimation — not financial advice. Sats deducted from LightningProx balance per successful analysis only. Operated at lpxpoly.com.